Fred Thompson is winning

According to Intrade Fred Thompson is the man most likely to become the Republican nominee. Intrade allows you to bet on who will be the Republican nominee. The bets that people make shows the market's estimate of each candidate's chances. Here is how the candidates are currently doing:

Thompson 24.9%
Giuliani 24.4%
Romney 22%
McCain 17%
Gingrich 2.6%


This is fantastic for Thompson, especially when you take into account that these odds reflect the small chance that Thompson won't even run.